Theglobe.com was one of the first social media sites. Now it
is a shell company that makes no profit and does nothing. Not being a business
guru I don't know any in depth advice as to what they could have done
differently than to make money. They should have been more realistic about
their business. The company was paying more money to get people to the site
than it was making off the site itself. This should have been a heads up. If
they had wanted to keep the business going themselves they should have been
more pragmatic about it. On the other hand, the owners of theglobe.com might
have been able to sell their company for a large profit before it bellied-up.
If the
economic impact of the dot-com bubble bursting caused us to have an improved
internet than it was worth it. It's hard for me to feel bad for the guys who
created theglobe.com. They ran their business into the ground and now have nice
homes but need jobs. This didn't ruin their lives. As for the gentleman who was
so self deluded that he thought anyone would want to watch his life on the
internet is a different story. Josh Harris would just not get it through his
head that he didn't know how to make money on the internet. We have successful
online businesses today so the point isn't that it can't be done. It was
interesting to note that investors may have learned a bit about investing in
social media from theglobe.com. When facebook.com went public it did not do as
well as many had expected. In contrast with theglobe.com's phenomenal opening
day.
In a sense
this kind of bubble is to be expected whenever a new idea or technology comes
out. You have a bunch of people jumping on the band wagon who want to ride the
wave and make money. It is this same idea that causes trends in television and
film. That being said, after a while people begin to understand the new market
or tech better and the crappy companies/tech gets weeded out. Investing in
companies is gambling and not everyone wins. I am sure there were investors who
lost a lot of money in some of these companies. This will continue to happen.
It's a gamble and there will always ne people out there to take the bet. The
Google Glasses could be the beginning of a smart-phone-hybrid bubble.
Smart-phones are awesome and I can see them becoming the standard. We will push
this technology to its limits till we find a breaking point. Jamming a
smart-phone into eye-glasses might just be that leap.
If the
smart-phone become the standard for everyone then I can see an application
bubble happening. As it stands, there are some lucrative applications on the
market. Most of my knowledge comes from game apps and social apps. There are
many free-to-play games that do small charges. If the game can get enough
people to play all those little charges add up to a lot. Films use game apps as
a marketing tool. Men in Black 3 has a free-to-play game app out that tries to
get you to bring facebook friends to the game. In essence it tries to increase
word of mouth knowledge of the movie and make money from the app itself. Other
apps, like Skyview, can be extremely useful. This app superimposes a star map
with constellations and the path of the moon and sun in the sky. This is not
only good for romantic stargazing but if you need to know when the sun will set
or where the international space station is at in its orbit around earth. NASA
has a fantastic app that gives you access to a wealth of pictures a knowledge
about our universe for free.
The future
of the applications market is closely tied to that of the smart-phone market. A
branch of the smart-phone tech are the tablets such as iPads. This does ease
the application market because it has more than one device to depend on. In
fact, simple iPods can download and run applications. Applications will be
around for a while because they are multi-platform. I do think that we will
find the limits of the market at some point. We will push until we find what
applications can't be of use to, or what kinds of apps work the best. The best
lesson to learn from the dot-com bubble burst is to keep the basics in mind.
Don't pump too much money into apps that it becomes bad for your business. They
can supplement your business by increasing your exposure, improve customer
service, and increase profits but they are not an end to themselves. Don't just
jump on the band wagon; think clearly about how apps can help your business in
the long run.